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Predictions by FutbolSkor.app – AI-powered football analysis
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük
Turkey Süper Lig • 2026-03-19T16:00:00 at 16:00 UTC
Match Analysis Summary
| Analysis Type | OVER 15 |
| Probability | 81.3% |
| Confidence Level | Grade C |
Analysis
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük has 81% Over 1.5 probability
We calculated the Over 1.5 (2+ goals) probability at 81.3% for this match.
Kayserispor at home has an expected goals average of 1.56, while Fatih Karagümrük away has 1.28 xG. Total expected goals: 2.84.
Head-to-head Over 1.5 rate: 50%. Average goals in H2H: 2.0.
Grade C (Moderate): Probability 75-85% (81%). Consider with caution.
Key Statistics
- Probability: 81%
- Total xG: 2.84
- Confidence: C
- H2H Over 1.5: 50%
Analysis Factors
- H2H Average: 2.0 goals per match in the last 2 games
- Away Defensive Weakness: Fatih Karagümrük concedes 2.0 goals per away match
- Recent Form: Kayserispor has been steady lately (many draws)
- xG Analysis: Total xG: 2.84 – High goal expectation
- AI Model Prediction: Model predicts over 1.5 goals with 81% probability
- Home Defensive Weakness: Kayserispor concedes 2.2 goals per home match
Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
| Kayserispor (Home) | 1.56 xG |
| Fatih Karagümrük (Away) | 1.28 xG |
| Total Expected Goals | 2.84 xG |
Team Form & Statistics
| Stat | Kayserispor | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Form | DLWLD | LLLDL |
| Goals Scored Avg | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded Avg | 2.25 | 2 |
Head-to-Head Record
| Total Matches | 2 |
| Average Goals | 2 |
| 2+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| 3+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| Both Teams Scored Rate | 50% |
Additional Analysis
| 3+ Goals Probability | 61.3% |
| Both Teams to Score Probability | 69.8% |
League Information
Turkey Süper Lig (Turkey) – Average goals per match: 1.35, 2+ goals rate: 39.2%
Analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.