Today's best football predictions. Detailed analysis for 1 matches.
Predictions by FutbolSkor.app – AI-powered football analysis
AZ vs Heerenveen
Netherlands Eredivisie • 2026-04-12T17:45:00 at 17:45 UTC
Match Analysis Summary
| Analysis Type | OVER 15 |
| Probability | 84.9% |
| Confidence Level | Grade C |
Analysis
AZ vs Heerenveen has 85% Over 1.5 probability
We calculated the Over 1.5 (2+ goals) probability at 84.9% for this match.
AZ at home has an expected goals average of 1.72, while Heerenveen away has 1.24 xG. Total expected goals: 2.96.
Head-to-head Over 1.5 rate: 50%. Average goals in H2H: 2.0.
Grade C (Moderate): Probability 75-85% (85%). Consider with caution.
Key Statistics
- Probability: 85%
- Total xG: 2.96
- Confidence: None
- H2H Over 1.5: 50%
Analysis Factors
- H2H Average: 2.0 goals per match in the last 2 games
- Away Defensive Weakness: Heerenveen concedes 1.3 goals per away match
- Recent Form: AZ won 2 of the last 5 matches
- xG Analysis: Total xG: 2.96 – High goal expectation
- AI Model Prediction: Model predicts over 1.5 goals with 85% probability
- Away Attacking Strength: Heerenveen scores 1.6 goals per away match
Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
| AZ (Home) | 1.72 xG |
| Heerenveen (Away) | 1.24 xG |
| Total Expected Goals | 2.96 xG |
Team Form & Statistics
| Stat | AZ | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Form | WDDWL | WWLLD |
| Goals Scored Avg | 2.38 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded Avg | 1.88 | 1.33 |
Head-to-Head Record
| Total Matches | 2 |
| Average Goals | 2 |
| 2+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| 3+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| Both Teams Scored Rate | 50% |
Additional Analysis
| 3+ Goals Probability | 73.4% |
| Both Teams to Score Probability | 76.9% |
League Information
Netherlands Eredivisie (Netherlands) – Average goals per match: 1.81, 2+ goals rate: 47.1%
Analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.