Today's best football predictions. Detailed analysis for 1 matches.
Predictions by FutbolSkor.app – AI-powered football analysis
Heerenveen vs Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie • 2026-05-17T12:30:00 at 12:30 UTC
Match Analysis Summary
| Analysis Type | OVER 15 |
| Probability | 81.4% |
| Confidence Level | Grade C |
Analysis
Heerenveen vs Ajax has 81% Over 1.5 probability
We calculated the Over 1.5 (2+ goals) probability at 81.4% for this match.
Heerenveen at home has an expected goals average of 1.79, while Ajax away has 2.68 xG. Total expected goals: 4.47.
Head-to-head Over 1.5 rate: 50%. Average goals in H2H: 1.0.
Grade C (Moderate): Probability 75-85% (81%). Consider with caution.
Key Statistics
- Probability: 81%
- Total xG: 4.47
- Confidence: C
- H2H Over 1.5: 50%
Analysis Factors
- Home Scoring Strength: Heerenveen scores 1.7 goals per home match
- Away Defensive Weakness: Ajax concedes 1.9 goals per away match
- Recent Form: Heerenveen has been steady lately (many draws)
- xG Analysis: Total xG: 4.47 – High goal expectation
- AI Model Prediction: Model predicts over 1.5 goals with 81% probability
- Away Attacking Strength: Ajax scores 2.2 goals per away match
Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
| Heerenveen (Home) | 1.79 xG |
| Ajax (Away) | 2.68 xG |
| Total Expected Goals | 4.47 xG |
Team Form & Statistics
| Stat | Heerenveen | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Form | LDLWD | WDWWL |
| Goals Scored Avg | 1.7 | 2.22 |
| Goals Conceded Avg | 1.8 | 1.89 |
Head-to-Head Record
| Total Matches | 2 |
| Average Goals | 1 |
| 2+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| 3+ Goals Rate | 0% |
| Both Teams Scored Rate | 50% |
Additional Analysis
| 3+ Goals Probability | 62.4% |
| Both Teams to Score Probability | 72.8% |
League Information
Netherlands Eredivisie (Netherlands) – Average goals per match: 1.81, 2+ goals rate: 47.1%
Analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.