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Predictions by FutbolSkor.app – AI-powered football analysis
Benfica vs Sporting Braga
Portugal Liga NOS • 2026-05-11T22:15:00 at 22:15 UTC
Match Analysis Summary
| Analysis Type | OVER 15 |
| Probability | 81.1% |
| Confidence Level | Grade C |
Analysis
Benfica vs Sporting Braga has 81% Over 1.5 probability
We calculated the Over 1.5 (2+ goals) probability at 81.1% for this match.
Benfica at home has an expected goals average of 2.29, while Sporting Braga away has 1.01 xG. Total expected goals: 3.30.
Head-to-head Over 1.5 rate: 50%. Average goals in H2H: 2.0.
Grade C (Moderate): Probability 75-85% (81%). Consider with caution.
Key Statistics
- Probability: 81%
- Total xG: 3.30
- Confidence: None
- H2H Over 1.5: 50%
Analysis Factors
- H2H Average: 2.0 goals per match in the last 2 games
- Home Scoring Strength: Benfica scores 2.1 goals per home match
- Away Defensive Weakness: Sporting Braga concedes 1.1 goals per away match
- Recent Form: Benfica won 3 of the last 5 matches
- xG Analysis: Total xG: 3.30 – High goal expectation
- AI Model Prediction: Model predicts over 1.5 goals with 81% probability
Match Statistics
Expected Goals (xG)
| Benfica (Home) | 2.29 xG |
| Sporting Braga (Away) | 1.01 xG |
| Total Expected Goals | 3.3 xG |
Team Form & Statistics
| Stat | Benfica | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Form | WWWDD | LWDLW |
| Goals Scored Avg | 2.11 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded Avg | 0.78 | 1.1 |
Head-to-Head Record
| Total Matches | 2 |
| Average Goals | 2 |
| 2+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| 3+ Goals Rate | 50% |
| Both Teams Scored Rate | 50% |
Additional Analysis
| 3+ Goals Probability | 68.6% |
| Both Teams to Score Probability | 65.5% |
League Information
Portugal Liga NOS (Portugal) – Average goals per match: 1.41, 2+ goals rate: 39.9%
Analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.